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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are expected by our trusted projection set to call 66.0 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The Colts pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (72%) to wide receivers this year (72.0%).
  • This year, the feeble Indianapolis Colts defense has been torched for the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a monstrous 9.09 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 55.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • After averaging 72.0 air yards per game last season, Kendrick Bourne has seen a big decrease this season, now boasting 33.0 per game.
  • Kendrick Bourne's 24.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 50.5.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
  • Kendrick Bourne's 26.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season signifies an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 57.0 rate.

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