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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Patriots, who are giant -7.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 59.0% of their chances: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.

This year, the feeble Dolphins pass defense has conceded a monstrous 69.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Miami's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 8th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

After averaging 72.0 air yards per game last year, Kendrick Bourne has posted significant losses this year, now sitting at 30.0 per game.

Kendrick Bourne's 22.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 50.5.

When talking about pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the worst in football this year.

Kendrick Bourne has notched quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (25.0) this year than he did last year (57.0).

More Kendrick Bourne Player Props

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