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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints

Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have 134.8 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.

The New England Patriots have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 64.8 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

Kendrick Bourne has been a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense this season (18.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (9.8%).

Kendrick Bourne has notched significantly more air yards this season (98.0 per game) than he did last season (31.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the New England Patriots as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) typically mean worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.

The New England Patriots offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Kendrick Bourne's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 74.8% to 59.7%.

Kendrick Bourne's 7.3 adjusted yards per target this season marks a a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 9.6 rate.

More Kendrick Bourne Player Props

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