Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Kendrick Bourne

NFL · Player Props

Kendrick Bourne

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Kendrick Bourne has been among the most effective receivers in football, averaging an impressive 10.25 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 78th percentile among wideouts.
Kendrick Bourne's ability to grind out extra yardage has gotten better this season, notching 10.90 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 5.96 mark last season.
The Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered the 6th-most receiving yards per game in the league (179.0) to wide receivers this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.4 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in football.
Kendrick Bourne has been used less as a potential target this year (45.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (69.7%).

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