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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots

Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New England Patriots will be rolling out backup QB Brian Hoyer this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

THE BLITZ projects Kendrick Bourne to be a much bigger part of his team's pass game this week (14.9% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.6% in games he has played).

Kendrick Bourne has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in an impressive 81.2% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 98th percentile among wide receivers.

Kendrick Bourne has been among the most efficient receivers in the league, averaging an impressive 11.07 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 100th percentile among WRs.

Kendrick Bourne has been among the top wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 6.81 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 94th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 7th-least pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.9% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 2nd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New England Patriots have run the 3rd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.6 plays per game.

The Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered the 10th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 138.0) versus wide receivers since the start of last season.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (60.8%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (60.8%).

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