Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Kendrick Bourne

NFL · Player Props

Kendrick Bourne

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 13, 2022 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-108/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
Kendrick Bourne's ability to generate extra yardage has gotten a boost this season, averaging 8.32 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 5.29 figure last season.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has struggled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.24 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.
Kendrick Bourne has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
Kendrick Bourne's 19.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 30.8.
Kendrick Bourne has compiled significantly fewer receiving yards per game (21.0) this season than he did last season (45.0).

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