Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Kendrick Bourne

NFL · Player Props

Kendrick Bourne

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 2, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 62.4% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Kendrick Bourne's ability to generate extra yardage has gotten better this season, averaging 8.39 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 5.29 mark last season.
The Buffalo Bills defense has yielded the 7th-most receiving yards per game in the league (169.0) to wideouts this year.

Favors Under

The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
Kendrick Bourne has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (51.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (69.7%).
Kendrick Bourne has notched far fewer air yards this year (23.0 per game) than he did last year (33.0 per game).
Kendrick Bourne has compiled a lot fewer receiving yards per game (21.0) this year than he did last year (45.0).
Kendrick Bourne's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 82.2% to 75.0%.

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