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Kendre Miller

Kendre Miller Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Kendre Miller Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Saints to run the most total plays on the slate this week with 69.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • In this week's game, Kendre Miller is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.0 rush attempts.
  • The leading projections forecast Kendre Miller to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack in this game (61.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (30.0% in games he has played).
  • With an impressive record of 3.71 yards after contact (92nd percentile), Kendre Miller has been among the best running backs in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Saints are a huge 14.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Saints to be the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 42.4% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop.
  • The Green Bay Packers defense owns the 8th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding just 4.29 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
  • The Green Bay Packers defensive ends grade out as the 8th-best DE corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

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