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Kendre Miller

Kendre Miller Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

Kendre Miller Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 138.8 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.

Our trusted projections expect Kendre Miller to total 3.4 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The projections expect Kendre Miller to be much more involved in his offense's pass game in this contest (10.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.4% in games he has played).

This year, the weak Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has surrendered a massive 94.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the highest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the New Orleans Saints as the 10th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

Kendre Miller's 56.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a significant drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 90.9% figure.

More Kendre Miller Player Props

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