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Kendre Miller

Kendre Miller Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

Kendre Miller Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 138.8 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.

Our trusted projections expect Kendre Miller to total 3.4 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The projections expect Kendre Miller to be much more involved in his offense's pass game in this contest (10.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.4% in games he has played).

As it relates to air yards, Kendre Miller ranks in the towering 90th percentile among RBs this year, averaging a remarkable 3.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the New Orleans Saints as the 10th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

Kendre Miller's 3.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year shows a meaningful diminishment in his receiving ability over last year's 17.0 figure.

Kendre Miller's 56.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a significant drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 90.9% figure.

Kendre Miller has been one of the least efficient receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs, averaging just 2.28 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 8th percentile.

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