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Kendre Miller

Kendre Miller Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Kendre Miller Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Saints are a huge 14.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Saints to run the most total plays on the slate this week with 69.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • This week, Kendre Miller is expected by the predictive model to finish in the 93rd percentile among running backs with 4.5 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the least pass-oriented team in football (55.3% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Saints.
  • The Saints O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Kendre Miller's 0.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season indicates a material decrease in his pass-catching skills over last season's 17.0 mark.
  • Kendre Miller's 39.2% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a substantial decrease in his receiving proficiency over last year's 90.9% mark.
  • With a feeble 0.1 adjusted yards per target (5th percentile) this year, Kendre Miller rates as one of the bottom pass-game RBs in the league.

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