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Kendall Hinton

Kendall Hinton Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Kendall Hinton Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+427/-958).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -551 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -958.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The Denver Broncos have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • Kendall Hinton has compiled quite a few more air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (11.0 per game).
  • Kendall Hinton's 18.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 10.1.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to call the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Kendall Hinton ranks in the 1st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.
  • The Baltimore Ravens cornerbacks grade out as the 10th-best CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on just 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the league). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

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