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Keith Kirkwood
NFL · Player Props
Keith Kirkwood
WR · New Orleans Saints
Receiving Yards
New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions · Week 13, 2023 Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:26 PM UTC
NFL Props Keith Kirkwood Receiving Yards

Keith Kirkwood Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -118.

Favors Over
  • The Saints are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Saints to pass on 62.7% of their plays: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.8 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The New Orleans Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Favors Under
  • Keith Kirkwood's 16.2% Route Participation% this season marks a significant drop-off in his passing game utilization over last season's 51.4% figure.
  • Keith Kirkwood has totaled a paltry 11.0 air yards per game this year: just 22nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the New Orleans Saints profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year.
  • Keith Kirkwood grades out as one of the weakest pass-catching WRs this year, averaging just 4.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 4th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Detroit Lions pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 2.95 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in football.
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