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Keith Kirkwood

Keith Kirkwood Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints

Keith Kirkwood Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-114/-126).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup QB Andy Dalton in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has not been good when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.28 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense performance when facing windier conditions in this game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-least in football.

The Arizona Cardinals defense has given up the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 135.0) to wide receivers this year.

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus wide receivers this year, conceding 7.17 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the NFL.

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