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Keith Kirkwood

Keith Kirkwood Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals

Keith Kirkwood Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.44 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

The New Orleans Saints O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 140.0) versus wide receivers this year.

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has shown strong efficiency against wideouts this year, yielding 7.53 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in football.

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.20 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in the league.

The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 8th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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