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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Arizona Cardinals vs Chicago Bears

Keenan Allen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+128/-167).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -167.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Bears offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.50 seconds per play.

In this contest, Keenan Allen is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.8 targets.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Bears ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year.

The Cardinals pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (72.5%) to WRs this year (72.5%).

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Arizona's group of CBs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.

Keenan Allen's 23.9% Target% this year marks a noteworthy regression in his pass game workload over last year's 31.0% figure.

Keenan Allen's 3.4 adjusted catches per game this season represents a noteable decrease in his receiving skills over last season's 8.2 mark.

Keenan Allen's 60.5% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies an impressive regression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 73.1% figure.

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