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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

Keenan Allen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are projected by the model to run 66.2 total plays in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.

The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast Keenan Allen to earn 6.8 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among WRs.

With a remarkable 7.5 adjusted catches per game (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Keenan Allen places as one of the leading WRs in the game in football.

The Panthers pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.4%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (67.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 5.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a running game script.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bears to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

Our trusted projections expect Keenan Allen to be much less involved in his offense's pass attack in this game (21.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (30.3% in games he has played).

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