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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

Keenan Allen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.3 plays per game.

In this week's contest, Keenan Allen is projected by the projection model to place in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.3 targets.

Keenan Allen rates as one of the top WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 7.8 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 100th percentile.

With a fantastic 71.8% Adjusted Completion% (82nd percentile) since the start of last season, Keenan Allen places as one of the best possession receivers in football among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 55.8% of their opportunities: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

While Keenan Allen has garnered 31.2% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Chicago's passing attack in this game at 22.0%.

The Bears offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Rams pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (57.6%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (57.6%).

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