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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Chicago Bears

Keenan Allen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-108).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Bears being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.

The Bears rank as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 66.1% pass rate.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.9 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

With a fantastic 7.8 adjusted catches per game (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Keenan Allen rates among the top wide receivers in the NFL in the league.

With an outstanding 71.8% Adjusted Catch Rate (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Keenan Allen stands as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.3 per game) since the start of last season.

The projections expect Keenan Allen to be a less important option in his team's air attack in this week's contest (15.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (31.2% in games he has played).

The Chicago offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

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