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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks

Keenan Allen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-122/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +107 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bears, who are -5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects Keenan Allen to garner 9.0 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs.

The Bears O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As far as a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.85 seconds per play, the projections expect the Bears to be the 5th-most sluggish in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Keenan Allen's 65.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 73.2.

Keenan Allen's receiving performance has diminished this year, averaging just 4.9 adjusted catches compared to 8.2 last year.

Keenan Allen's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 73.1% to 59.3%.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.

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