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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

Keenan Allen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+130/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Bears being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.

The Chicago Bears offense has played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.75 seconds per play.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

In this week's contest, Keenan Allen is expected by the projection model to land in the 91st percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.1 targets.

The Chicago Bears O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keenan Allen's 25.0% Target Share this season represents an impressive reduction in his air attack volume over last season's 31.0% mark.

Keenan Allen's 3.7 adjusted catches per game this season shows a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving skills over last season's 8.2 mark.

Keenan Allen's 57.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a remarkable diminishment in his receiving talent over last season's 73.1% mark.

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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