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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Keenan Allen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by the predictive model to run 67.3 total plays in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Chicago Bears have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 59.9 plays per game.

In this week's game, Keenan Allen is predicted by the projections to place in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.2 targets.

In regards to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keenan Allen has been a much smaller part of his offense's pass game this year (24.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (31.0%).

Keenan Allen's receiving performance has declined this year, notching a measly 3.7 adjusted catches compared to 8.2 last year.

Keenan Allen's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 73.1% to 58.8%.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

More Keenan Allen Player Props

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