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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Tennessee Titans

Keenan Allen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

In this week's contest, Keenan Allen is projected by the predictive model to rank in the 82nd percentile among wideouts with 7.2 targets.

Keenan Allen is positioned as one of the leading wide receivers in the league last year, averaging an impressive 8.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.

With a fantastic 73.1% Adjusted Completion% (89th percentile) last year, Keenan Allen rates among the most sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to wide receivers.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.7%) to WRs last year (71.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 54.8% of their downs: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects Keenan Allen to be a less important option in his offense's air attack in this week's game (22.3% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (31.0% in games he has played).

The Chicago Bears O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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