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Keenan Allen
NFL · Player Props
Keenan Allen
WR · Los Angeles Chargers
Receptions
Los Angeles Chargers vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2023 Updated Oct 30, 2023 12:26 AM UTC
NFL Props Keenan Allen Receptions

Keenan Allen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

Favors Over
  • At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented team in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.
  • Right now, the 2nd-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chargers.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The Chicago Bears defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (38.6 per game) this year.
  • With a remarkable 97.2% Route% (98th percentile) this year, Keenan Allen places among the WRs with the biggest workloads in football.
Favors Under
  • The Chargers feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 2.7% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The Chargers are an enormous 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • Keenan Allen's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 76.4% to 72.8%.
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