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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Keenan Allen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chargers will be forced to start backup QB Easton Stick in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Our trusted projections expect Keenan Allen to accumulate 11.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to call the 10th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Keenan Allen's 73.0% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a meaningful reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season's 76.4% mark.

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