Keenan Allen Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Keenan Allen

NFL · Player Props

Keenan Allen

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receptions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Keenan Allen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-109/-121).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Keenan Allen to accumulate 6.9 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers project as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Los Angeles Chargers have faced a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.6%) vs. wideouts this year (63.6%).

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