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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Arizona Cardinals vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Bears offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.50 seconds per play.
  • In this contest, Keenan Allen is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.8 targets.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Bears ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year.
  • The Cardinals pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (72.5%) to WRs this year (72.5%).
  • This year, the feeble Cardinals defense has given up the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a colossal 8.83 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.
  • Keenan Allen's 23.9% Target% this year marks a noteworthy regression in his pass game workload over last year's 31.0% figure.
  • Keenan Allen has accrued far fewer air yards this year (58.0 per game) than he did last year (106.0 per game).
  • Keenan Allen has totaled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (33.0) this year than he did last year (98.0).
  • Keenan Allen's 60.5% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies an impressive regression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 73.1% figure.

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