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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 61.9% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Chicago Bears.

The Chicago Bears have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 59.0 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

The projections expect Keenan Allen to accrue 6.9 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 9th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are forecasted by the model to run just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.

Keenan Allen has been a less important option in his offense's air attack this year (22.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (31.0%).

Keenan Allen has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (50.0 per game) than he did last season (106.0 per game).

Keenan Allen has accrued many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (33.0) this year than he did last year (98.0).

More Keenan Allen Player Props

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