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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are projected by the model to run 66.2 total plays in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.
  • The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Keenan Allen to earn 6.8 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among WRs.
  • Keenan Allen has accumulated a monstrous 97.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 93rd percentile among WRs.
  • Keenan Allen checks in as one of the top pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 88.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears are a 5.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a running game script.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bears to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
  • Our trusted projections expect Keenan Allen to be much less involved in his offense's pass attack in this game (21.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (30.3% in games he has played).

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