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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Chicago Bears

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-145/+115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Bears being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.

The Bears rank as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 66.1% pass rate.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.9 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

In regards to air yards, Keenan Allen grades out in the towering 95th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 104.0 per game.

With an outstanding 93.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Keenan Allen places as one of the best wide receivers in the league in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.3 per game) since the start of last season.

The projections expect Keenan Allen to be a less important option in his team's air attack in this week's contest (15.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (31.2% in games he has played).

The Chicago offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

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