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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 53.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a giant 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

In this contest, Keenan Allen is expected by the projection model to position himself in the 91st percentile among wideouts with 8.9 targets.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bears grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are projected by the projection model to run just 64.3 total plays in this contest: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

After accruing 106.0 air yards per game last season, Keenan Allen has gotten worse this season, now boasting 76.0 per game.

Keenan Allen's 63.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 73.2.

Keenan Allen's 47.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season illustrates a remarkable reduction in his receiving talent over last season's 98.0 mark.

More Keenan Allen Player Props

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