My Account Log Out

reorder

Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by the predictive model to run 67.3 total plays in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Chicago Bears have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 59.9 plays per game.

In this week's game, Keenan Allen is predicted by the projections to place in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.2 targets.

In regards to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keenan Allen has been a much smaller part of his offense's pass game this year (24.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (31.0%).

Keenan Allen has notched quite a few less air yards this season (66.0 per game) than he did last season (106.0 per game).

Keenan Allen has put up significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (35.0) this year than he did last year (98.0).

Keenan Allen's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 73.1% to 58.8%.

Keenan Allen's receiving efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging just 5.54 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.82 mark last year.

More Keenan Allen Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™