My Account Log Out

reorder

Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Tennessee Titans

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

In this week's contest, Keenan Allen is projected by the predictive model to rank in the 82nd percentile among wideouts with 7.2 targets.

When talking about air yards, Keenan Allen grades out in the lofty 95th percentile among WRs last year, accumulating a massive 106.0 per game.

With an impressive 98.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (98th percentile) last year, Keenan Allen rates among the leading pass-catching WRs in the NFL.

With a fantastic 73.1% Adjusted Completion% (89th percentile) last year, Keenan Allen rates among the most sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 54.8% of their downs: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects Keenan Allen to be a less important option in his offense's air attack in this week's game (22.3% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (31.0% in games he has played).

The Chicago Bears O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Titans pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.95 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 5th-fewest in the league.

More Keenan Allen Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™