Keenan Allen Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Keenan Allen

NFL · Player Props

Keenan Allen

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
With an extraordinary 97.3% Route% (98th percentile) this year, Keenan Allen places among the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.
Our trusted projections expect Keenan Allen to accumulate 10.2 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs.
After averaging 89.0 air yards per game last season, Keenan Allen has produced significantly more this season, now boasting 101.0 per game.
Keenan Allen has notched substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (94.0) this season than he did last season (80.0).

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Chargers offensive strategy to skew 2.4% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3 points.
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 59.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the New York Jets, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 34.0 per game) this year.
The New York Jets defense has conceded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 104.0) to WRs this year.

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