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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Chargers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 85.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 63.4% of their chances: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.2 plays per game.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may decline.
  • In this week's game, Keenan Allen is forecasted by the projection model to position himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs with 11.6 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chargers offensive scheme to tilt 2.2% more towards running than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • This year, the fierce Cowboys defense has conceded a meager 121.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (62.9%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (62.9%).
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Dallas's CB corps has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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