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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 85.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 84.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 85.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chargers as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.41 seconds per play.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL.

The projections expect Keenan Allen to earn 11.5 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Los Angeles Chargers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 1.7% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

The Chargers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers project as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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