Keenan Allen Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Keenan Allen

NFL · Player Props

Keenan Allen

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 72.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 72.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 63.2 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Keenan Allen to total 9.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Chargers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

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