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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 67.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.40 seconds per play.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 9th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keenan Allen has accrued many fewer receiving yards per game (61.0) this year than he did last year (73.0).

Keenan Allen's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 70.1% to 64.9%.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (64.5%) to wideouts this year (64.5%).

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against WRs this year, allowing 7.66 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in football.

The Miami Dolphins defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season.

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