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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks

Keenan Allen Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+153/-213).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +153.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.

The Seattle Seahawks linebackers project as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

The Los Angeles Chargers have faced a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chargers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in the league.

The Los Angeles Chargers O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.6%) vs. wideouts this year (63.6%).

The Seattle Seahawks defense has given up the 9th-least passing TDs in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.67 per game this year.

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