Keenan Allen Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Keenan Allen

NFL · Player Props

Keenan Allen

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving TD

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 4, 2022 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Keenan Allen Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+156/-219).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -213 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -219.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.43 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Keenan Allen has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 23.8% this year, which puts him in the 92nd percentile among WRs.
Keenan Allen has accrued a whopping 78.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 87th percentile among WRs.
Keenan Allen's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 70.1% to 74.3%.

Favors Under

Keenan Allen's 37.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 57.9.

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