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Keaton Mitchell

Keaton Mitchell Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

Keaton Mitchell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens as the 2nd-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 49.9% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see 130.4 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Baltimore Ravens feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 3.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

This year, the porous Browns run defense has been gouged for a whopping 3.67 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's run game: the 29th-largest rate in the NFL.

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Cleveland's group of DTs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 6th-best in the league.

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