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Keaton Mitchell

Keaton Mitchell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

Keaton Mitchell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Baltimore Ravens feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 3.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see 130.4 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 50.1% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Browns, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a mere 27.6 per game) this year.

This year, the strong Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered a paltry 26.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing RBs: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has excelled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.93 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the fewest in the league.

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