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Keaontay Ingram
NFL · Player Props
Keaontay Ingram
RB · Arizona Cardinals
Rushing Yards
Cleveland Browns vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 9, 2023 Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:21 PM UTC
NFL Props Keaontay Ingram Rushing Yards

Keaontay Ingram Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ +100.

Favors Over
  • The Cardinals feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 6.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The predictive model expects the Cardinals to be the 3rd-most run-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 44.7% run rate.
  • In this game, Keaontay Ingram is predicted by the predictive model to slot into the 90th percentile among running backs with 15.8 carries.
  • The predictive model expects Keaontay Ingram to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack in this contest (58.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (17.1% in games he has played).
Favors Under
  • The Cardinals may pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) since they be starting backup QB Clayton Tune.
  • The Cardinals are a big 13.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cardinals are forecasted by the model to call only 63.2 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The Arizona Cardinals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football last year at opening holes for rushers.
  • With a very bad total of 2.46 adjusted yards per carry (23rd percentile) this year, Keaontay Ingram stands among the weakest RBs in the league at the position.
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