Keaontay Ingram Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Keaontay Ingram

NFL · Player Props

Keaontay Ingram

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Keaontay Ingram Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals have a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 5.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 2nd-most run-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 44.3% run rate.
While Keaontay Ingram has been responsible for 20.0% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of Arizona's rushing attack in this game at 36.1%.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be starting backup QB Joshua Dobbs.
At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are huge underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on passing than their standard approach.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the projection model to call just 62.9 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football last year in run support.
Keaontay Ingram's running efficiency (2.28 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (21st percentile when it comes to RBs).

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