Keaontay Ingram Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Keaontay Ingram

NFL · Player Props

Keaontay Ingram

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 7:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Keaontay Ingram Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals have a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 5.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
At the moment, the 3rd-most run-heavy team in the league (44.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Arizona Cardinals.
While Keaontay Ingram has garnered 14.6% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Arizona's rushing attack in this week's contest at 33.3%.

Favors Under

The Cardinals may lean on the pass less in this game (and call more carries) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Joshua Dobbs.
A passing game script is suggested by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cardinals are projected by the projections to run just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.
When it comes to blocking for ball-carriers (and the impact it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL last year.

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