Keaontay Ingram Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Keaontay Ingram

NFL · Player Props

Keaontay Ingram

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Keaontay Ingram Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-121/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.3% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 5th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 43.0% run rate.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Keaontay Ingram to be a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this week (20.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (9.9% in games he has played).
The New York Giants defense has had the 2nd-worst efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, giving up 5.32 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup QB Joshua Dobbs this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Cardinals are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

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