Keaontay Ingram Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Keaontay Ingram

NFL · Player Props

Keaontay Ingram

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Keaontay Ingram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals may pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) since they be starting backup QB Clayton Tune.
The Cardinals are a big 13.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Favors Under

The Cardinals feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 6.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
Right now, the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense in football (55.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Cardinals.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cardinals are forecasted by the model to call only 63.2 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.0 per game) this year.
Keaontay Ingram has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 24.2% of snaps vs just 13.7% last year.

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