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Keaontay Ingram

Keaontay Ingram Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Arizona Cardinals

Keaontay Ingram Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 6.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The predictive model expects the Cardinals to be the 3rd-most run-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 44.7% run rate.

In this game, Keaontay Ingram is predicted by the predictive model to slot into the 90th percentile among running backs with 15.8 carries.

The predictive model expects Keaontay Ingram to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack in this contest (58.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (17.1% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cardinals may pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) since they be starting backup QB Clayton Tune.

The Cardinals are a big 13.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cardinals are forecasted by the model to call only 63.2 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.

The Arizona Cardinals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football last year at opening holes for rushers.

The Cleveland defensive tackles grade out as the 7th-best collection of DTs in football this year in regard to run defense.

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