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KaVontae Turpin

KaVontae Turpin Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

KaVontae Turpin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+195/-240).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Cowboys feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 7.2% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to pass on 62.1% of their chances: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

As far as a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.89 seconds per play, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 10th-fastest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 41.9 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3.5 points.

Kavontae Turpin checks in as one of the worst wide receivers in the game this year, averaging just 1.3 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 20th percentile when it comes to WRs.

This year, the daunting Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up a paltry 63.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 10th-smallest rate in football.

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