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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 69.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 69.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 9-point advantage, the Chiefs are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

The model projects Kareem Hunt to accumulate 16.3 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.

After making up 33.2% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Kareem Hunt has been called on more in the running game this year, currently sitting at 66.3%.

This year, the imposing Raiders run defense has surrendered a puny 5.17 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's run game: the 27th-smallest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 35.2% run rate.

At the moment, the 7th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

Kareem Hunt grades out as one of the worst running backs in the NFL at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a mere 2.54 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 19th percentile.

The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends profile as the best group of DEs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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